Is the world quietly sliding into a multi-theatre global conflict?
In this exclusive interview, Reuters global defence columnist and British Army specialist reservist Peter Apps breaks down the sobering realities of the Russia-Ukraine war, the changing face of modern attrition, and the precarious state of international security.
Drawing from his extensive reporting and insights from his books, The Next World War and Deterring Armageddon: A Biography of NATO, Apps discusses why Vladimir Putin continues to absorb staggering human casualties, how commercial data and autonomous drones have rewritten the rules of the battlefield, and whether the West is truly prepared to handle an ‘axis of upheaval’.
We also dive deep into the internal fractures within NATO, the changing dynamics of the US-Europe security alliance, and the escalating grey-zone warfare – including sabotage and cyber operations – already taking place in major Western nations.
Video Chapters
0:00 – Introduction
1:12 – The Staggering Human Cost: 40,000 Casualties a Month
1:38 – Why Putin Has No “Plan B”
2:15 – Historical Parallels: Putin’s War vs. World War I
2:46 – From a 3-Day War to an Endless Meat Grinder
3:18 – Ukraine’s “Spreadsheet War” Strategy
3:42 – How the Fight Changes to Small Groups & Drones
4:28 – Russia’s Winter Strategy: Crushing Ukraine’s Infrastructure
5:05 – The Political Battle: Zelenskyy vs. Putin
5:38 – Has Ukraine Gained the Aerial Advantage?
6:10 – Striking Deep: Ukrainian Drones in Moscow & St. Petersburg
6:42 – The High Cost of High-End Western Air Defenses
7:24 – Is Putin Running on Borrowed Time?
8:11 – The Somme Comparison: Why Putin Can Cut Back if Needed
8:48 – How Long Can This War of Attrition Last?
9:21 – The Spreadsheet War: Re-Engineering Battlefield Success
10:14 – Russia’s High-Level Espionage & Sabotage Networks
10:55 – Rewiring Ukraine’s Military Intelligence Since 2014
11:32 – The Dangerous Reality of Grey-Zone Warfare in the West
12:12 – Global Flashpoints: Lessons from the Israel-Iran Conflict
12:50 – Can NATO Actually Stop Vladimir Putin?
13:16 – The Trillion-Dollar Pivot: NATO 3.0 Explained
13:58 – Fractures in the Alliance: Trump and the US Military Shift
14:48 – Conclusion: Are We in the Opening Chapters of WW3?
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